• WisPolitics

Check AdWatch for the latest campaign ads


Wednesday, September 19, 2012

 1:11 PM 

Marquette: Obama leads Romney 54-40, Baldwin up on Thompson 50-41

The latest Marquette University Law School poll has the presidential and U.S. Senate race in Wisconsin swinging strongly toward the Dem candidates.

The poll found President Obama leading Mitt Romney 54 percent to 40 percent among likely voters, compared to a 49-46 Obama edge in the last survey, which was taken shortly after the selection of Paul Ryan, R-Janesville, for the presidential ticket.

Likewise, the survey found Dem Tammy Baldwin leading Republican Tommy Thompson 50-41, a reversal from the August poll, which had the former guv up by the same margin. That survey was taken in the days after Thompson won the state’s GOP primary.

The live surveys of 601 likely voters, using landlines and cell phones, was conducted Sept. 13-16 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

Pollster Charles Franklin said there were two significant shifts in the poll compared to August. One, independents swung toward the Dem candidates. In the presidential race, Obama increased his lead among independents from 45-43 in August to 53-38 in the latest poll. In the Senate race, independents favored Thompson 47-37 in August, but now back Baldwin 50-38.

Secondly, the survey had a bump in the percentage of voters describing themselves as Dems. This survey had a partisan breakdown of 34 percent Democrats and 27 percent Republicans. The series of polls down for the school have had an average of 32 percent Democrats and 30 percent Republicans.

Franklin said that shift could be attributed to two things. One is the possibility there was more enthusiasm on the Democratic side than among Republicans following the national conventions.

The second could be a random sample error. Still, Franklin said if the latest survey was adjusted to reflect the balance in past polls, it would not change Obama and Baldwin leading their opponents. Obama would still be up 51-43, while Baldwin would lead 48-43.

-- By JR Ross


Back to Election Blog main page

: See newer blog items : : See older blog items :

Election Blog site feed
Advertisement
Advertisement

wispolitics.com Social News

Follow Us

ABOUT THE BLOG

Updates from WisPolitics.com on primary and general elections in Wisconsin.

Editor: JR Ross
Reporters: Andy Szal, Jason Smathers

· Election Blog site feed

ELECTION LINKS

· Campaign ads
· Audio archive
· Government Accountability Board (state elections)
· Federal Election Commission (federal elections)

ARCHIVE

· February 2007
· April 2007
· February 2008
· March 2008
· April 2008
· September 2008
· October 2008
· November 2008
· February 2009
· April 2009
· February 2010
· March 2010
· April 2010
· September 2010
· November 2010
· February 2011
· March 2011
· April 2011
· May 2011
· June 2011
· July 2011
· August 2011
· September 2011
· October 2011
· November 2011
· December 2011
· January 2012
· February 2012
· March 2012
· April 2012
· May 2012
· June 2012
· July 2012
· August 2012
· September 2012
· October 2012
· November 2012
· December 2012
· January 2013
· February 2013
· March 2013
· April 2013
· June 2013
· July 2013
· August 2013
· September 2013
· October 2013
· November 2013
· December 2013
· January 2014
· February 2014
· March 2014
· April 2014
· May 2014
· June 2014
· July 2014
· August 2014
· September 2014
Copyright ©2012 WisPolitics.com All rights reserved. | WisOpinion.com | WisBusiness.com  |  Website development by wisnet.com LLC  | Website design by Makin’ Hey Communications