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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

 12:40 PM 

Marquette: Obama 51, Romney 43; Baldwin 47, Thompson 43



The latest Marquette University Law School poll found a shift toward President Obama and Tammy Baldwin compared to the last survey two weeks ago.

In the presidential race, the survey found Obama up on Mitt Romney 51 percent to 43 percent among likely voters. In the last poll, the two were about even with Obama at 49 percent and Romney at 48 percent.

In the Senate race, the survey found Baldwin up on Tommy Thompson 47-43. The last poll had it 46 percent for Thompson and 45 for Baldwin.

In both races, a shift among independents largely accounted for the change in the numbers compared to the last poll.

In the poll two weeks ago, which was done following the first presidential debate, Romney led independents 49-45. In the latest poll, which included the final two presidential debates as well, Obama led among independents 46-41.

The poll also found 58 percent believed Obama won the final debate, compared to 31 percent who believed Romney did.

In the Senate, Thompson led among independents in the last poll 44-41. The latest survey had a 45-39 advantage for Baldwin.

The survey of 1,243 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Sunday using live interviews. About 30 percent of the sample was reached via cell phone, and the margin of error was plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

Among those surveyed, 34 percent said they were Dems, 29 percent said they were Republicans and 36 percent independents.

-- By JR Ross


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