• WisPolitics

Check AdWatch for the latest campaign ads


Wednesday, October 17, 2012

 1:06 PM 

Presidential, Senate races about even in latest Marquette poll

The latest Marquette University Law School poll had the presidential and Senate races in Wisconsin essentially tied, a tightening in both races from the last survey two weeks ago.

The poll found 49 percent of respondents backed President Obama, compared to 48 percent who supported Mitt Romney. Charles Franklin, the poll’s director, said the two were separated by fractions of a point and the 1 percentage point difference was due to rounding.

Two weeks ago, the poll had Obama up 53-42.

In the Senate race, Tommy Thompson was backed by 46 percent of respondents, while 45 percent supported Tammy Baldwin. Franklin said like with the presidential race, the difference between the Senate contenders was a fraction of a point.

In the last Marquette poll, Baldwin led by 4 percentage points.

In both of the races, Franklin attributed the tightening to a shift with independents.

Independents went from backing Obama 49-40 in the last poll to a 49-45 Romney edge in the new survey.

In the Senate race, they went from a 43-43 split to a 44-41 advantage for Thompson.

For both races, there was also a shift in the gender gap.

Two weeks ago, Obama had a 61-36 advantage with women, but it’s now down to a margin of 4 percentage points.

Two weeks ago, Thompson led 50-41 among men with his lead now 47-43. Baldwin led among women 54-38, but it’s now down to 47-44.

The survey was conducted Oct. 11-14, coming out of the field before last night’s presidential debate. It went into the field the same day as the only vice presidential debate of the campaign.

Franklin said the first presidential debate had an impact on the results. Of those who watched the first presidential debate, Romney led 50-48. Those that did not watch it favored Obama 50-42 with about three-fourths of the likely voters surveyed saying they watched the debate.

The survey of 870 likely voters had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Cell phone users made up about 30 percent of the sample.

Franklin said 31 percent of respondents identified themselves as Dems, a drop of 3 percentage points from the last survey. Twenty-eight percent said they were Republicans, unchanged from the previous poll.

-- By JR Ross


Back to Election Blog main page

: See newer blog items : : See older blog items :

Election Blog site feed
Advertisement
Advertisement

wispolitics.com Social News

Follow Us

ABOUT THE BLOG

Updates from WisPolitics.com on primary and general elections in Wisconsin.

Editor: JR Ross
Reporters: Andy Szal, Jason Smathers

· Election Blog site feed

ELECTION LINKS

· Campaign ads
· Audio archive
· Government Accountability Board (state elections)
· Federal Election Commission (federal elections)

ARCHIVE

· February 2007
· April 2007
· February 2008
· March 2008
· April 2008
· September 2008
· October 2008
· November 2008
· February 2009
· April 2009
· February 2010
· March 2010
· April 2010
· September 2010
· November 2010
· February 2011
· March 2011
· April 2011
· May 2011
· June 2011
· July 2011
· August 2011
· September 2011
· October 2011
· November 2011
· December 2011
· January 2012
· February 2012
· March 2012
· April 2012
· May 2012
· June 2012
· July 2012
· August 2012
· September 2012
· October 2012
· November 2012
· December 2012
· January 2013
· February 2013
· March 2013
· April 2013
· June 2013
· July 2013
· August 2013
· September 2013
· October 2013
· November 2013
· December 2013
· January 2014
· February 2014
· March 2014
· April 2014
· May 2014
· June 2014
· July 2014
· August 2014
· September 2014
Copyright ©2012 WisPolitics.com All rights reserved. | WisOpinion.com | WisBusiness.com  |  Website development by wisnet.com LLC  | Website design by Makin’ Hey Communications