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Wednesday, August 31, 2016

 12:47 PM 

Marquette Law poll finds Clinton lead over Trump narrowing, Senate race getting tighter

The latest Marquette University Law School Poll found Hillary Clinton’s edge over Donald Trump snapping back to pre-convention levels and a tightening in the U.S. Senate race.

The poll found Clinton leading Trump 42 to 37 percent among registered voters. Among likely voters, her edge was 45-42.

In early August, Clinton led 46-36 among registered voters and 52-37 among likely voters.

In the Senate campaign, Dem Russ Feingold was up on U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Oshkosh, 46-42 among registered voters. Earlier this month, that margin was 49-43 for Feingold.

Among likely voters, Feingold edged Johnson 48-45, compared to a 53-42 margin at the beginning of the month.

Poll director Charles Franklin noted the early August poll was conducted shortly after the Dem national convention and during a bad stretch for Trump.

“What’s striking is now we seem to be back pretty close to where we were in July, pre-convention,” Franklin said.

The poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday. It included 803 registered voters, along with 650 likely voters. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points for registered voters and plus or minus 5 points for likely voters. Half of the interviews were conducted by cellphone and half over land lines.

Another poll released today, this one from Monmouth University, found Clinton leading Trump 43-38 among likely voters in a four-way race with Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green candidate Jill Stein.

It also found Feingold up on Johnson 54-41.

That survey of 404 likely voters was conducted Saturday through Tuesday. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

-- By JR Ross


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