• WisPolitics


Wednesday, September 21, 2016

 1:12 PM 

Marquette poll: Pres. race largely unchanged, Feingold lead higher

The dynamic in the presidential race has not changed dramatically in Wisconsin over the past three weeks, according to the latest Marquette University Law School Poll.

Meanwhile, Russ Feingold’s edge on U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson was slightly higher compared to late August.

Among likely voters, 44 percent backed Hillary Clinton, while 42 percent supported Donald Trump, compared to a 45-42 spread for the Dem nominee at the end of August.

Among registered voters, the margin remained unchanged. Forty-three percent backed Clinton, while 38 percent supported Trump, compared to 42-37 three weeks earlier.

In a four-way race, Clinton’s 3-point edge from late August among likely voters was unchanged, while she was up 4 points among registered voters after being up 5 three weeks earlier.

Poll director Charles Franklin noted the poll was conducted after Clinton referred to half of Trump’s supporters being in a basket of “deplorables” and her bout with pneumonia. Most of the surveys also were conducted after Trump, who has questioned the authenticity of Barack Obama’s birth certificate, declared the president was born in the U.S.

“You really shouldn’t think this tells us much about the race tightening or not,” he said. “It’s a very small Clinton advantage, but one that’s well within the margin of error.”

In the Senate race, 47 percent of likely voters backed Feingold, while 41 percent supported Johnson. In late August, it was a 48-45 spread for Feingold.

For registered voters, it was 46-40 for Feingold, compared to a 46-42 for the Middleton Dem three weeks earlier.

With Libertarian Phil Anderson added in, it was 44-39 for Feingold among likely voters with 7 percent backing the third-party candidate. For registered voters, it was a 7-point Feingold lead with 8 percent supporting Anderson.

The survey of 802 registered voters was conducted Thursday through Sunday with half of the interviews conducted over cell phones and the other half via landlines. That included 642 likely voters. The margin of error for the full sample was plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, while it was plus or minus 4.8 percentage points for likely voters.

-- By JR Ross


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