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Wednesday, October 12, 2016

 12:54 PM 

Marquette poll finds 7-point edge for Clinton over Trump, tightening U.S. Senate race

The latest Marquette University Law School poll found Hillary Clinton’s edge over Donald Trump in Wisconsin and a tightening U.S. Senate race.

Clinton was backed by 44 percent of likely voters, while Trump was supported by 37 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson was at 9 percent, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein was at 3 percent.

The poll is the first publicly released survey in Wisconsin to capture some of the fallout after a 2005 videotape of Trump making vulgar comments about women was released Friday. 

In a four-way match up three weeks ago, Clinton had a 41-38 edge with Johnson at 11 percent and Stein at 2.

In the Senate race, 46 percent backed Dem Russ Feingold, while 44 percent supported U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Oshkosh. Four percent backed Libertarian Phil Anderson.

Three weeks ago, Feingold had a 44-39 edge with Anderson at 7 percent.

The survey of 878 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Sunday over landlines and cell phones. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

Poll director Charles Franklin said 412 of the interviews were conducted Thursday before the video was released, 230 were done Friday, as the new broke, and 236 were conducted Saturday and Sunday. 

There were signs in the results over the four days suggesting the tape had an impact in the presidential race.

Among likely voters, Trump was backed by 41 percent of respondents in the Thursday surveys, compared to 40 for Clinton. By Friday, it was 44-38 for Clinton. On Saturday and Sunday, it was 49-30 for Clinton.

-- By JR Ross


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